This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for October 2025. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth continues its strong increase of 3.55% in September. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (100%). The portfolio trend for October is bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for October is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 4 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this strategy is 7.54%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 154.06%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 139.99%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 19.95% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 23.91% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -19.95%
S&P 500: -23.91%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced continued to gain ground by 2.92% in September. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for October is positive. The 2 ETFs of the bond part for this month are LQD and JNK. The 3 ETFs of the portfolio for this month are QQQ (70%), LQD (15%) and JNK (15%). The portfolio trend for October is positive with a Trend Score in decline of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score in progression of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this strategy is 2.69%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative continued to gain ground by 2.76% in September. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). The asset allocation is as follows: QQQ (41%), GLD (11%), VGK (11%), EEM (11%), EFA (11%) and EWJ (11%). The portfolio trend for October is positive with a Trend Score in progression of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for October is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 4 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 3.86%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable continued to gain ground by 2.69% in September. The overall market trend for this month is strongly positive. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 ETFs (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 12 securities show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 100% to Risk-On assets and 0% to Risk-Off assets. The asset allocation is as follows: GLD (16%), VGK (16%), EEM (16%), EFA (16%), EWJ (16%) and QQQ (16%). The portfolio trend for this month is positive with a Trend Score in rise of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for October is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 4 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this strategy is 5.24%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF, which follows gold, continues its strong increase of 11.76% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 46.09%. The trend in October is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in growth of 8 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in October is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 5 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is invested in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in October.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF from SPDR, which follows the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, continues its strong increase of 3.28% in September. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 16.23%. The trend in October is bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score constant of 3 out of 10.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF, which measures the performance of large cap Japanese stocks, continued to gain ground by 2.47% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 12.68%. The trend in October is positive with a Trend Score in growth of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in October.
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF, which monitors the US tech sector, continues its strong increase of 5.25% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 22.95%. The trend in October is bullish with a Trend Score unchanged of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in October is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 4 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is present in the portfolios US Growth, Global Stable, Global Conservative and US Balanced in October.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM ETF, which replicates the Russell 2000 Index, continued to grow by 2.89% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 9.55%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score in decline of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF, which monitors the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, continues its strong rise of 7.10% in September. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 17.78%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score unchanged of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 5 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in October.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF, which tracks a wide variety of US government and US corporate bonds, continued to grow by 0.45% in September. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is -1.33%. The trend in October is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score in expansion of 2 out of 10.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which tracks intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds, continued to gain ground by 0.32% in September. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is -2.04%. The trend in October is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in October is low with a Risk Score steady of 1 out of 10.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF, which measures the broad U.S. real estate market, fell 0.89% in September. The 1 year trailing return of this Exchange-Traded Fund is -6.19%. The trend in October is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in this month is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY Exchange-Traded Fund, which follows mid-cap U.S. Equities, continued to grow by 0.15% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 4.75%. The trend in October is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD Exchange-Traded Fund from iShares, which monitors U.S. investment grade corporate bonds, continued to grow by 1.52% in September. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is -0.89%. The trend in October is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in October is low with a Risk Score in rise of 2 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio US Balanced in October.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK ETF, which monitors the major markets of Europe, continued to gain ground by 1.66% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 11.27%. The trend in October is weakly bullish with a Trend Score steady of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10. This equity is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in October.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT ETF, which follows the U.S. long-term treasury market, rebounds promptly by 3.20% in September. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is -9.18%. The trend in October is lightly positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in expansion of 3 out of 10.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF from iShares, which follows a broad range of companies in Europe, Australia and the Far East, continued to grow by 2.07% in September. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 12.05%. The trend in October is weakly bullish with a Trend Score unchanged of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative this month.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF, which follows US high yield bonds, continued to gain ground by 0.49% in September. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 0%. The trend in October is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 2 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in October is low with a Risk Score stable of 1 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio US Balanced in October.
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This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.