This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for September 2025. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth continued to grow by 0.95% last month. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is SPY (100%). The portfolio trend for September is positive with a Trend Score in regression of 6 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for September is low with a Risk Score constant of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 6.02%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 145.23%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 131.87%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 19.96% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 23.93% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -19.96%
S&P 500: -23.93%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced continued to gain ground by 1% in August. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for September is bullish. The 2 ETFs of the bond part for this month are JNK and LQD. The portfolio contains the following 3 ETFs: SPY (70%), JNK (15%) and LQD (15%). The portfolio trend for September is bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for September is low with a Risk Score constant of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 1.71%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative continued to grow by 2.26% in August. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). The portfolio contains the following 8 ETFs: IEF (36%), SPY (30%), GLD (5%), VGK (5%), EFA (5%), EEM (5%), EWJ (5%) and QQQ (5%). The portfolio trend for September is positive with a Trend Score in decline of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for September is low with a Risk Score constant of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this portfolio is 3.19%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable advances promptly to 3.06% in August. The overall market trend for September is bullish. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 Trackers (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 9 assets show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 50% to Risk-On assets and 50% to Risk-Off assets. The portfolio contains the following 7 Trackers: IEF (52%), GLD (8%), VGK (8%), EFA (8%), EEM (8%), EWJ (8%) and QQQ (8%). The portfolio trend for September is bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for September is low with a Risk Score constant of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this portfolio is 4.68%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM ETF from iShares, which replicates the Russell 2000 Index, continues its strong increase of 7.19% in August. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 6.82%. The trend in September is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 7 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is medium with a Risk Score in rise of 5 out of 10.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF, which replicates the S&P 500, continued to gain ground by 2.05% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 14.56%. The trend in September is bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 6 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategies US Growth, Global Conservative and US Balanced in September.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF, which follows intermediate-term bonds being traded in the United States, shifted upwards 0.82% in August. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -1.35%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score in growth of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which monitors mid-cap U.S. Equities, continues its strong increase of 3.39% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 5.31%. The trend in September is positive with a Trend Score steady of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 4 out of 10.
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ Exchange-Traded Fund from Invesco, which monitors the US tech sector, continued to grow by 0.95% in August. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 19.75%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score in regression of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM Exchange-Traded Fund, which mimics a broad range of emerging market companies, continued to grow by 2.68% in August. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 13.95%. The trend in this month is bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is present in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which monitors an index composed of U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities between 7 and 10 years, bounced back 1.32% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -1.03%. The trend in September is bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in September is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 1 out of 10. This equity is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative this month.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD ETF, which tracks a broad portfolio of U.S. corporate bonds, bounced back 0.63% in August. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is -1.80%. The trend in September is positive with a Trend Score in rise of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolio US Balanced in September.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF from Vanguard, which tracks a broad exposure to U.S. equity REITs, continues its strong rise of 3.48% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is -3.16%. The trend in this month is bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 3 out of 10.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF from iShares, which follows the Japan Equities index, rebounds promptly by 6.33% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 9.86%. The trend in September is bullish with a Trend Score in expansion of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in September is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. This equity is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF, which mimics the performance of gold, rises sharply by 4.99% in August. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 37.66%. The trend in September is lightly positive with a Trend Score in rise of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 2 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF, which monitors US high-yield corporate bonds, bounced back 0.64% in August. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 1.04%. The trend in September is lightly bullish with a Trend Score constant of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in September is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10. This equity is present in the portfolio US Balanced this month.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK ETF, which replicates European Equities, rises sharply by 3.77% in August. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 11.43%. The trend in September is weakly positive with a Trend Score steady of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in September is medium with a Risk Score in rise of 4 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA Exchange-Traded Fund from iShares, which tracks markets in Europe, Australia and the Far East, rises sharply by 4.52% in August. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 10.98%. The trend in this month is weakly positive with a Trend Score stable of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 4 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in September.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT Exchange-Traded Fund, which monitors long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, retreated 0.37% in August. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -10.42%. The trend in this month is bearish. The degree of risk of this ETF in September is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 2 out of 10.
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This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.