This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for August 2025. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth continued to gain ground by 2.42% in July. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The asset allocation remains the same this month. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (100%). The portfolio trend for August is strongly positive with a Trend Score steady of 9 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for August is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this portfolio is 6.17%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 142.93%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 127.21%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 19.95% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 23.93% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -19.95%
S&P 500: -23.93%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced continued to gain ground by 1.70% in July. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for August is positive. The 2 ETFs of the bond part for this month are JNK and LQD. The ETFs that make up the portfolio do not change in August. The asset allocation is as follows: QQQ (70%), JNK (15%) and LQD (15%). The portfolio trend for August is measurably bullish with a Trend Score constant of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for August is low with a Risk Score in decline of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this portfolio is 1.98%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative continued to gain ground by 0.81% in July. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). The asset allocation is as follows: QQQ (37%), IEF (23%), GLD (7%), VGK (7%), EFA (7%), EEM (7%) and EWJ (7%). The portfolio trend for August is positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for August is low with a Risk Score in rise of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is 2.79%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable remained steady last month. The overall market trend for August is bullish. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 Trackers (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 10 securities show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 66% to Risk-On assets and 33% to Risk-Off assets. The 7 Trackers of the portfolio for this month are IEF (34%), GLD (11%), VGK (11%), EFA (11%), QQQ (11%), EEM (11%) and EWJ (11%). The portfolio trend for August is weakly positive with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for August is low with a Risk Score in progression of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 3.78%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF from Invesco, which follows 100 largest US companies in the non-financial sector, continued to grow by 2.42% in July. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 19.96%. The trend in this month is measurably bullish with a Trend Score stable of 9 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score stable of 3 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategies US Growth, Global Stable, Global Conservative and US Balanced in August.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF, which tracks large-cap U.S. stocks, continued to gain ground by 2.30% in July. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 14.91%. The trend in August is strongly positive with a Trend Score unchanged of 7 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 3 out of 10.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM Exchange-Traded Fund from iShares, which mimics 2000 small-cap US stocks, continued to gain ground by 1.67% last month. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -1.79%. The trend in August is bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 6 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score constant of 3 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which mimics 400 mid-cap companies in the U.S., continued to grow by 1.61% last month. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 1.59%. The trend in this month is bullish with a Trend Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score stable of 3 out of 10.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF from iShares, which mimics the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, continued to grow by 0.66% in July. The performance over a period of 1 year of this Exchange-Traded Fund is 14.29%. The trend in August is bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in August is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in August.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD ETF, which follows U.S. investment grade corporate bonds, retreated 0.46% in July. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 0%. The trend in August is weakly bullish with a Trend Score stable of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategy US Balanced this month.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF, which monitors the Japan Equities index, fell 1.80% in July. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 4.29%. The trend in August is lightly positive with a Trend Score in regression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in August is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 4 out of 10. This equity is present in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in August.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF, which follows an index composed of companies from Europe, Australia and the Far East, fell 2.09% last month. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 8.75%. The trend in August is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score constant of 3 out of 10. This equity is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in August.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK Exchange-Traded Fund, which mimics European Equities, retreated 2.39% in July. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 10.29%. The trend in August is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10. This equity is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative this month.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF, which follows US high-yield corporate bonds, fell 0.39% in July. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 1.05%. The trend in August is lightly positive with a Trend Score stable of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score stable of 1 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio US Balanced in August.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF, which mimics US bond market, dropped 0.58% in July. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 0%. The trend in August is weakly positive with a Trend Score in decline of 2 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score in decline of 1 out of 10.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which replicates intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds, receded 0.91% in July. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -2.08%. The trend in this month is weakly bullish with a Trend Score steady of 2 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is present in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in August.
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF, which follows the performance of the price of gold bullion, receded 0.61% in July. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 33.63%. The trend in August is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 2 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score stable of 2 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in August.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT ETF from iShares, which tracks U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than twenty years, dropped 1.51% in July. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -8.51%. The trend in August is bearish. The degree of risk of this equity in August is low with a Risk Score in decline of 2 out of 10.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ Exchange-Traded Fund, which follows US Real Estate Equities, bounced back 0.09% in July. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -1.11%. The trend in August is bearish. The degree of risk of this ETF in August is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 3 out of 10.
Compliance disclaimer
This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.