This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for July 2025. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth rises distinctly by 6.38% in June. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The asset allocation remains the same this month. The Exchange Traded Fund selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (100%). The portfolio trend for July is strongly positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 9 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is 1.92%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 137.20%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 122.09%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 19.96% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 23.93% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -19.96%
S&P 500: -23.93%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced rises sharply by 5.04% in June. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for July is bullish. The 2 ETFs of the bond part for this month are JNK and LQD. The portfolio contains the following 3 ETFs: QQQ (70%), JNK (15%) and LQD (15%). The portfolio trend for July is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in growth of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this portfolio is -0.21%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative bounced back 2.05% in June. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). Asset allocation does not change this month. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (33%). The portfolio trend for July is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 3.67%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable bounced back 1.10% in June. The overall market trend for July is weakly bullish. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 ETFs (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 8 securities show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 33% to Risk-On assets and 66% to Risk-Off assets. Asset allocation does not change in July. The asset allocation is as follows: GLD (5%), VGK (5%), QQQ (5%), EFA (5%), EEM (5%) and SPY (5%). The portfolio trend for July is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 2 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for July is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is 7.11%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, holds out its strong increase of 6.27% last month. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 15.03%. The trend in this month is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 9 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in July is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategies US Growth, Global Stable, Global Conservative and US Balanced in July.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF from SPDR, which monitors 500 largest US companies, continues its strong increase of 4.83% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this Exchange-Traded Fund is 13.42%. The trend in July is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in growth of 7 out of 10. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in July is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is invested in the portfolio Global Stable in July.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF, which tracks the Japan Equities index, continued to grow by 1.15% in June. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 8.82%. The trend in July is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in July is low with a Risk Score stable of 3 out of 10.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF, which monitors an index composed of companies from Europe, Australia and the Far East, continued to grow by 0.65% last month. The evolution of the performance of this Exchange-Traded Fund over 1 year is 14.10%. The trend in July is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in expansion of 7 out of 10. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio Global Stable this month.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK ETF from Vanguard, which tracks the major markets of Europe, continued to gain ground by 0.96% last month. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is 16.67%. The trend in July is strongly positive with a Trend Score in rise of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio Global Stable in July.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM ETF from iShares, which mimics the Russell 2000 Index, continues its strong rise of 5.23% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is 6.44%. The trend in July is bullish with a Trend Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF, which follows the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, holds out its strong increase of 5.98% in June. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 14.29%. The trend in July is bullish with a Trend Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score unchanged of 4 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolio Global Stable in July.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT ETF from iShares, which replicates long-dated US Treasuries, shifted upwards 2.28% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -3.30%. A trend reversal has been detected in July with a Trend Score of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in this month is high with a Risk Score in progression of 7 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which follows the S&P MidCap 400 Index, continues its strong increase of 3.24% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 5.79%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score in progression of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10.
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF, which follows the performance of the price of gold bullion, bounced back 0.41% in June. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 41.40%. The trend in this month is bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in July is low with a Risk Score in regression of 2 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the strategy Global Stable in July.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF from Vanguard, which replicates the United States' fixed income markets, bounced back 1.18% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is 1.39%. The trend in July is weakly positive with a Trend Score in growth of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in July is low with a Risk Score in growth of 2 out of 10.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD Exchange-Traded Fund from iShares, which monitors a broad range of U.S. investment grade corporate bonds, shifted upwards 1.71% in June. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 1.87%. The trend in July is weakly positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in July is low with a Risk Score in expansion of 2 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the strategy US Balanced this month.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF from SPDR, which follows US high yield bonds, continued to gain ground by 1.42% in June. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 3.19%. The trend in July is weakly positive with a Trend Score in rise of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolio US Balanced in July.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which replicates intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds, bounced back 1.27% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 2.15%. The trend in July is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 2 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in July is low with a Risk Score steady of 2 out of 10.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF from Vanguard, which measures a broad exposure to U.S. equity REITs, retreated 0.29% in June. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 7.23%. The trend in July is bearish. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 3 out of 10.
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This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.