This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for June 2025. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| US stock market |
|
|
| US bond market |
|
|
| US Treasuries |
|
|
| US Real Estate |
|
|
| Europe Equities |
|
|
| Japan Equities |
|
|
| Emerging Market Equities |
|
|
| Gold |
|
Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth remained steady in May. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (100%). The portfolio trend for this month is bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for June is medium with a Risk Score in progression of 5 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is -0.82%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 123.06%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 110.94%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 19.95% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 23.89% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -19.95%
S&P 500: -23.89%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced receded 2.31% in May. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for June is lightly positive. The Exchange Traded Fund selected in the bond part for this month is JNK. The portfolio contains the following 2 Trackers: QQQ (70%) and JNK (30%). The portfolio trend for June is lightly positive with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for this month is medium with a Risk Score constant of 4 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this portfolio is -2.52%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative decreased 1.83% in May. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (33%). The portfolio trend for June is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 1 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score in regression of 2 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this strategy is 3.31%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable retreated 1.24% in May. The overall market trend for June is weakly bullish. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 Trackers (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 8 assets show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 33% to Risk-On assets and 66% to Risk-Off assets. The 6 Trackers of the portfolio for this month are GLD (5%), VGK (5%), QQQ (5%), EFA (5%), EEM (5%) and SPY (5%). The portfolio trend for June is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in regression of 1 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for June is low with a Risk Score in decline of 1 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this portfolio is 6.82%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF from SPDR, which measures the gold market, decreased 0.06% last month. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 40.93%. The trend in June is measurably bullish with a Trend Score unchanged of 8 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in June is medium with a Risk Score in decline of 4 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategy Global Stable in June.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF, which replicates the Japan Equities index, continues its strong rise of 3.77% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 8.82%. The trend in June is positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 5 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in June is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM Exchange-Traded Fund, which tracks an index of US small-cap stocks, rebounds sharply by 5.24% in May. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 0%. A trend reversal has been detected in June with a Trend Score of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in June is high with a Risk Score in growth of 7 out of 10.
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF, which follows large-cap US technology companies, continues its strong increase of 9.18% in May. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 15.33%. The trend in June is bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in June is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 5 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategies US Growth, Global Stable, Global Conservative and US Balanced in June.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF, which monitors a broad range of companies in Europe, Australia and the Far East, continues its strong rise of 4.79% in May. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 8.64%. The trend in June is positive with a Trend Score unchanged of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in this month is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the strategy Global Stable in June.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK ETF, which replicates the major markets of Europe, continues its strong rise of 5.28% in May. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is 10.14%. The trend in June is positive with a Trend Score stable of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in June is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategy Global Stable this month.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY Exchange-Traded Fund from SPDR, which follows a basket of large-cap U.S. stocks, rebounds sharply by 6.28% in May. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 11.76%. The trend in June is lightly positive with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in June is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 5 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategy Global Stable in June.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF, which measures an index composed of companies from emerging markets, continues its strong increase of 4.02% in May. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 9.76%. The trend in June is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in June is medium with a Risk Score in decline of 4 out of 10. This equity is invested in the strategy Global Stable in June.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD ETF, which tracks a basket of U.S. corporate bonds, dropped 0.19% last month. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 0.94%. The trend in this month is weakly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 1 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in decline of 1 out of 10.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF from Vanguard, which replicates the United States' fixed income markets, retreated 0.99% in May. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 1.41%. The trend in June is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in decline of 1 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in June is low with a Risk Score in decline of 1 out of 10.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which measures intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds, retreated 1.56% in May. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 2.17%. The trend in June is lightly positive with a Trend Score in regression of 1 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in regression of 2 out of 10.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF, which replicates the Bloomberg Barclays US High Yield index, shifted upwards 1.27% in May. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 1.06%. The trend in June is weakly positive with a Trend Score stable of 1 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in June is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolio US Balanced in June.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT ETF, which follows long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, falls sharply by 3.57% in May. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is -4.44%. The trend in June is bearish. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF, which mimics stocks issued by real estate investment trusts (REITs), bounced back 1.12% in May. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 7.23%. The trend in June is negative. The level of risk of this ETF in June is low with a Risk Score in regression of 3 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which tracks mid-cap U.S. stocks, rebounds sharply by 5.36% in May. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 0.37%. The trend in June is bearish. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10.
Compliance disclaimer
This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.