This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for May 2022. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth fell 1.34% last month. We see a falling trend in the U.S. equity market, we assume a Risk-Off market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a long-term U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). The degree of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score constant of 1 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is -3.74%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 68.24%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 41.26%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 15.74% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 19.42% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -15.74%
S&P 500: -19.42%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced remained steady in April. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for May is negative. The ETF selected in the bond part for this month is IEF. The ETF that makes up the portfolio does not change in May. The portfolio's allocation is 100% cash. The degree of risk of the strategy for May is low with a Risk Score stable of 0 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is -2.17%.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative remained stable last month. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). Asset allocation does not change in May. Portfolio is allocated 100% cash. The level of risk of the strategy for this month is low with a Risk Score constant of 0 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this portfolio is -1.74%.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable remained steady in April. The overall market trend for May is negative. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 ETFs (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 1 assets only show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 0% to Risk-On assets and 100% to Risk-Off assets. Asset allocation does not change in May. Portfolio is allocated 100% cash. The degree of risk of the strategy for May is low with a Risk Score unchanged of 0 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this portfolio is -2.41%.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD Exchange-Traded Fund, which follows the price of gold, retreated 2.07% last month. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 6.67%. The trend in this month is positive with a Trend Score in decline of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT ETF from iShares, which follows long-dated US Treasuries, falls sharply by 9.56% in April. The performance over a period of 1 year of this Exchange-Traded Fund is -13.77%. The trend in May is bearish. The level of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in May is high with a Risk Score in growth of 8 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is invested in the portfolio US Growth this month.
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF from Invesco, which monitors big US technology-related companies, falls back promptly by 13.60% in April. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is -7.12%. The trend in May is negative. The level of risk of this equity in May is high with a Risk Score in expansion of 8 out of 10.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF, which measures an index composed of companies from emerging markets, falls sharply by 6.14% in April. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -20.75%. The trend in May is bearish. The level of risk of this equity in May is high with a Risk Score in growth of 7 out of 10.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK Exchange-Traded Fund from Vanguard, which monitors companies located in major European markets, decreases sharply by 6.25% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -12.12%. The trend in this month is bearish. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score in decline of 5 out of 10.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF from iShares, which mimics the Japanese market, falls back promptly by 8.10% in April. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is -16.42%. The trend in May is negative. The degree of risk of this equity in May is high with a Risk Score in expansion of 7 out of 10.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD ETF, which mimics a broad portfolio of U.S. corporate bonds, falls back promptly by 6.90% in April. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is -14.50%. The trend in May is negative. The degree of risk of this ETF in May is high with a Risk Score in expansion of 7 out of 10.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF, which replicates a broad range of companies in Europe, Australia and the Far East, falls back promptly by 6.74% last month. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is -12.82%. The trend in this month is bearish. The degree of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 5 out of 10.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM ETF from iShares, which tracks an index of US small-cap stocks, collapses distinctly by 9.90% in April. The evolution of the performance of this Exchange-Traded Fund over 1 year is -17.86%. The trend in May is negative. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in May is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 5 out of 10.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF, which follows the index S&P 500, collapses distinctly by 8.78% in April. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is -1.20%. The trend in May is negative. The level of risk of this ETF in May is medium with a Risk Score in decline of 6 out of 10.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which replicates an index composed of U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities between 7 and 10 years, collapses distinctly by 4.34% in April. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -9.73%. The trend in May is negative. The degree of risk of this ETF in May is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 6 out of 10.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF, which monitors the United States' fixed income markets, falls sharply by 4.21% in April. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -10.59%. The trend in May is bearish. The level of risk of this ETF in May is high with a Risk Score constant of 7 out of 10.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK Exchange-Traded Fund, which measures US high-yield corporate bonds, decreases sharply by 4.77% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -11.01%. The trend in this month is negative. The level of risk of this ETF in this month is medium with a Risk Score in expansion of 4 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which measures mid-cap U.S. Equities, falls sharply by 7.06% in April. The 1 year trailing return of this equity is -8.27%. The trend in May is bearish. The level of risk of this equity in May is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10.
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF, which monitors the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index, decreases sharply by 4.09% in April. The performance over a period of 1 year of this ETF is 4.04%. The trend in May is negative. The level of risk of this ETF in May is medium with a Risk Score unchanged of 4 out of 10.
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This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.