This document has been compiled using indicators provided by the Market-Signals trading bot which studies global market data. This document shows the evolution of the strategies proposed by the bot and gives the trends of a selection of ETFs, which follow the main world markets, for January 2022. The strategies hold only long positions. No leverage is used. This document is for information purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
Global Market Breadth
| Market | Trend | Direction |
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| US stock market |
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| US bond market |
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| US Treasuries |
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| US Real Estate |
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| Europe Equities |
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| Japan Equities |
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| Emerging Market Equities |
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| Gold |
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Portfolios
US Growth Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Growth continued to grow by 1.15% in December. We find a positive trend in the U.S. stock market, we assume a Risk-On market regime and the portfolio is allocated to a U.S. equity ETF. The asset allocation does not change in January. The ETF selected in the portfolio for this month is QQQ (100%). The portfolio trend for January is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for January is medium with a Risk Score in rise of 4 out of 10.
The 1-year trailing return of this strategy is 35.49%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 103.89%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 62.39%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 8.50% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 19.44% at maximum.
This strategy captures the U.S. stock market growth for long-term investors who want high returns.
Since inception at eToro
Max drawdown
Since inception at eToro
Portfolio: -8.50%
S&P 500: -19.44%
- eToro portfolio
US Balanced Portfolio
T
he portfolio US Balanced continued to grow by 0.65% in December. The strategy combines an allocation in US bonds (30%) with the US Growth portfolio (70%). The trend in the US bond market for January is lightly positive. The ETF selected in the bond part for this month is JNK. The portfolio contains the following 2 ETFs: QQQ (70%) and JNK (30%). The portfolio trend for January is positive with a Trend Score in progression of 5 out of 10. The level of risk of the strategy for January is low with a Risk Score steady of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is 23.28%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 67.65%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 62.39%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 6.32% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 19.44% at maximum.
This strategy provides a balanced stocks and bonds allocation for investors who want a U.S. market exposure with limited risks.
Global Conservative Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Conservative dropped 0.02% in December. The Strategy combines a multi-market protective asset allocation strategy (Global Stable portfolio 70%) and a US stock market strategy (US Growth portfolio 30%). The asset allocation is as follows: QQQ (37%), IEF (23%), EFA (7%), VGK (7%), TLT (7%), SPY (7%) and VNQ (7%). The portfolio trend for January is bullish with a Trend Score in rise of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for January is low with a Risk Score in growth of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year change of this strategy is 15.52%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 38.42%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (S&P 500) has advanced 62.39%. The strategy has suffered a maximum loss of 3.76% since the portfolio opened at eToro, compared to the benchmark asset (S&P 500) which lost 19.44% at maximum.
This strategy provides a broad geographic diversification for investors who want an international exposure.
Global Stable Portfolio
T
he portfolio Global Stable dropped 0.52% last month. The overall market trend for January is positive. By analyzing a diverse multi-market composed of 12 ETFs (stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, international and emerging markets...), we observe that 10 securities show a positive evolution. Our model allocates 66% to Risk-On assets and 33% to Risk-Off assets. The portfolio contains the following 7 ETFs: IEF (34%), EFA (11%), VGK (11%), TLT (11%), QQQ (11%), SPY (11%) and VNQ (11%). The portfolio trend for January is positive with a Trend Score in rise of 4 out of 10. The degree of risk of the strategy for January is low with a Risk Score in expansion of 3 out of 10.
The 1-year performance of this strategy is 7.53%. Since opening the portfolio at eToro in November 2019, the strategy has performed 16.31%, in comparison, the benchmark asset (Intermediate-term US Treasuries) has advanced 4.63%. The strategy, focused on capital preservation, has suffered a maximum loss of 2.18% since the portfolio opened at eToro in November 2019, compared to the benchmark asset which lost 7.53% at most.
This is the safest strategy, the one with the lowest volatility and the least max drawdown of the 4 offered, that makes this strategy an alternative to a 1-Year Term Deposit.
ETF Trends
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF
- US Real Estate
The VNQ ETF, which follows REITs and other real estate-related investments, rebounds sharply by 8.68% in December. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 38.10%. The trend in January is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 8 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in January is medium with a Risk Score in progression of 5 out of 10. This equity is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in January.
QQQ Invesco QQQ
- Nasdaq 100
The QQQ ETF, which monitors big US technology-related companies, continued to grow by 1.02% in December. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 26.84%. The trend in January is measurably bullish with a Trend Score in growth of 7 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in January is medium with a Risk Score in growth of 4 out of 10. This equity is invested in the portfolios US Growth, Global Stable, Global Conservative and US Balanced in January.
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
- S&P 500
The SPY ETF, which replicates the US large-cap space, rebounds sharply by 4.26% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 27.08%. The trend in this month is bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 6 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in January is low with a Risk Score in progression of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the strategies Global Stable and Global Conservative in January.
GLD SPDR Gold
- Gold
The GLD ETF from SPDR, which follows the performance of the price of gold bullion, rises sharply by 3.30% in December. The 1 year trailing return of this Exchange-Traded Fund is -4.49%. The trend in January is positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in January is low with a Risk Score in decline of 2 out of 10.
MDY SPDR S&P Midcap 400
- Midcap 400
The MDY ETF, which follows mid-cap U.S. Equities, rises sharply by 4.84% in December. The performance over a period of 1 year of this equity is 23.39%. The trend in January is positive with a Trend Score in expansion of 4 out of 10. The level of risk of this equity in January is medium with a Risk Score unchanged of 4 out of 10.
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Long-Term US Treasuries
The TLT Exchange-Traded Fund from iShares, which replicates the long-term sector of the U.S. Treasury market, fell 2.24% in December. The evolution of the performance of this Exchange-Traded Fund over 1 year is -5.73%. The trend in January is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 3 out of 10. The degree of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in January is low with a Risk Score stable of 3 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative this month.
VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
- Europe Equities
The VGK Exchange-Traded Fund from Vanguard, which monitors companies located in major European markets, rebounds promptly by 4.12% in December. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is 13.33%. The trend in January is lightly positive with a Trend Score in growth of 3 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in January is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative this month.
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF
- US Small Cap Equities
The IWM ETF from iShares, which tracks an index of US small-cap stocks, shifted upwards 1.96% in December. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is 13.27%. The trend in January is lightly bullish with a Trend Score in progression of 2 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in January is medium with a Risk Score in regression of 4 out of 10.
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
- Europe, Australia and Far East Equities
The EFA ETF from iShares, which monitors an index composed of companies from Europe, Australia and the Far East, bounced back 2.39% in December. The evolution of the performance of this Exchange-Traded Fund over 1 year is 8.33%. The trend in January is lightly positive with a Trend Score in rise of 2 out of 10. The level of risk of this Exchange-Traded Fund in January is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10. This Exchange-Traded Fund is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in January.
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond
- US Corporate Bonds
The LQD ETF from iShares, which tracks an index composed of U.S. corporate bonds, fell 0.41% in December. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is -4.35%. The trend in January is lightly positive with a Trend Score constant of 1 out of 10. The degree of risk of this equity in January is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10.
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
- Intermediate-term US Treasuries
The IEF ETF, which measures intermediate-term U.S. Treasury bonds, decreased 0.69% in December. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is -3.36%. The trend in January is lightly positive with a Trend Score constant of 1 out of 10. The level of risk of this ETF in January is low with a Risk Score in decline of 1 out of 10. This ETF is invested in the portfolios Global Stable and Global Conservative in January.
JNK SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
- High Yield Bonds
The JNK ETF, which tracks US "junk" bonds, bounced back 1.63% in December. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is 0%. The trend in January is weakly positive with a Trend Score in rise of 1 out of 10. The degree of risk of this ETF in January is low with a Risk Score in regression of 1 out of 10. This ETF is present in the portfolio US Balanced in January.
EWJ iShares MSCI JAPAN ETF
- Japan Equities
The EWJ ETF, which measures large and mid cap segments of the Japanese market, bounced back 0.95% in December. The evolution of the performance of this equity over 1 year is -1.49%. The trend in January is negative. The level of risk of this equity in January is low with a Risk Score in decline of 2 out of 10.
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
- Emerging Market Equities
The EEM ETF, which replicates a diversified exposure to emerging markets, bounced back 0.02% last month. The evolution of the performance of this ETF over 1 year is -5.88%. The trend in this month is negative. The degree of risk of this ETF in January is low with a Risk Score in decline of 3 out of 10.
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
- US Total Bond Market
The BND ETF, which tracks investment grade, US dollar-denominated bond market debt securities, dropped 0.78% last month. The 1 year trailing return of this ETF is -4.55%. The trend in this month is negative. The degree of risk of this ETF in January is low with a Risk Score steady of 2 out of 10.
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This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation,
or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments.
Natevia makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication,
which has been prepared utilizing publicly-available information.
Past Performance is not indicative of future results.